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Red118
881739.6
940412.6
5958.4
Blue88
999921.2
999722.1
393241.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13663010020025030011888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+6Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
0Leave0
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points27
16Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +17
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points49
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
18Processor points6
8Net points4
26Algae points10
76Total teleop59
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
118Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#3
58.40.5
57.157.6
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
red by 17.1
41.31.8
40.942.7
Auto14.2
Teleop23.1
End4.0
Second
39.60.5
35.836.3
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End4.2
red by 17.5
9997
#20
22.13.0
8.311.3
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7
Third
9404
#13
12.60.5
17.718.2
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
blue by 8.5
9999
#11
21.23.0
11.614.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed