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Red104
10851.7
238353.8
547237.4
Blue110
5958.4
884146.2
215215.2
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions171128050100150200250300104110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+14Teleop
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points13
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#15
34Coral points54
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
64Total teleop68
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
104Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.83.6
59.055.4
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
blue by 4.6
59
#3
58.40.7
56.756.0
Auto5.4
Teleop42.4
End10.6
Second
108
#5
51.73.6
59.255.6
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
red by 5.5
8841
#10
46.20.7
49.348.6
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End4.3
Third
37.43.6
40.136.5
Auto10.4
Teleop23.6
End3.4
red by 22.2
2152
#12
15.20.7
14.413.7
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsMissed89%Barge oddsEarned