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Red66
940412.6
555724.6
10851.7
Blue64
238353.8
541012.3
999921.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1179702003004005006006664

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+20Teleop
+22Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points14
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +17
4Coral scored#1
14Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
22Total teleop5
Reef
2L4#2
4L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
2Foul points22
66Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
51.72.4
55.152.7
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
blue by 2.1
53.83.2
55.051.8
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
Second
5557
#15
24.62.4
28.325.9
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1
red by 3.5
9999
#11
21.25.0
19.614.6
Auto7.3
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
9404
#13
12.62.4
17.014.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
red by 0.3
5410
#19
12.33.2
15.812.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
17%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsEarned58%Barge oddsEarned