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Red36
541012.3
555724.6
765211.1
Blue37
940412.6
152317.8
215215.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595102040801001201403637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
3Coral scored#4
11Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
15Total teleop25
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#1
0L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
36Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#15
24.61.4
25.924.5
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1
red by 6.8
1523
#18
17.80.7
18.117.4
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
Second
5410
#19
12.31.4
12.611.2
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.2
blue by 2.8
2152
#12
15.20.7
14.714.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.3
End3.1
Third
7652
#14
11.11.4
12.411.1
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End1.0
blue by 1.6
9404
#13
12.60.7
14.513.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed