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Red99
999531.6
152317.8
10851.7
Blue126
881739.6
999722.1
238353.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9311705015020025030099126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+29
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#21
47Coral points77
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
65Total teleop101
Reef
7L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +27
2Foul points0
99Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
51.70.2
51.951.7
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
blue by 2.1
53.80.3
52.152.4
Auto10.5
Teleop34.4
End8.9
Second
31.60.2
31.931.6
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
blue by 8.0
39.60.3
37.938.2
Auto5.3
Teleop30.2
End4.2
Third
1523
#18
17.80.2
18.017.8
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
blue by 4.3
9997
#20
22.10.4
19.820.2
Auto2.9
Teleop16.5
End2.7