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Red126
999531.6
152317.8
10851.7
Blue115
74429.8
884146.2
555724.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions871100200300400500600126115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+17Teleop
+15Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +3
14Coral scored#17
52Coral points61
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
12Processor points12
20Net points8
32Algae points20
84Total teleop81
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#7
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points4
126Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#5
51.70.6
51.351.9
Auto17.4
Teleop31.2
End3.1
red by 5.5
8841
#10
46.20.2
46.046.3
Auto11.3
Teleop30.6
End4.3
Second
31.60.8
31.031.8
Auto1.9
Teleop29.0
End0.8
red by 1.8
744
#21
29.80.2
29.629.9
Auto4.0
Teleop24.5
End1.3
Third
1523
#18
17.80.6
17.418.0
Auto3.6
Teleop11.0
End3.2
blue by 6.8
5557
#15
24.60.2
24.524.7
Auto3.8
Teleop18.7
End2.1