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Red150
17962.8
18065.5
215219.1
Blue130
190256.4
967028.3
23353.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160161130140150170180190200150130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave3
7Coral scored#4
37Coral points19
37Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +5
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points46
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#7
12Processor points18
16Net points28
28Algae points46
97Total teleop92
Reef
9L4#6
7L3#5
7L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points2
150Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#1
65.50.1
65.665.5
Auto14.0
Teleop45.1
End6.4
red by 9.1
56.40.3
56.856.4
Auto7.9
Teleop40.5
End8.1
Second
179
#4
62.80.0
62.862.8
Auto15.9
Teleop40.2
End6.7
red by 9.0
233
#2
53.70.3
54.153.7
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
Third
2152
#47
19.10.1
19.219.1
Auto1.2
Teleop15.3
End2.6
blue by 9.2
9670
#28
28.30.4
28.728.3
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2