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Red31
402415.9
152318.0
903018.7
Blue105
5952.2
514522.0
877515.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5596015031105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+68
Endgame+80
Fouls+74
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
3Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +58
3Coral scored#14
12Coral points50
1Processor algae#3
0Net algae#2
6Processor points18
0Net points8
6Algae points26
18Total teleop76
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#4
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +74
6Foul points0
31Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9030
#17
18.73.8
16.112.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
blue by 33.5
59
#5
52.21.5
40.141.7
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
Second
1523
#27
18.03.8
20.917.1
Auto3.0
Teleop11.3
End3.7
blue by 4.0
5145
#23
22.01.5
21.322.8
Auto3.9
Teleop17.1
End1.0
Third
4024
#13
15.93.8
13.69.8
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 0.1
8775
#35
15.81.5
19.020.5
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned