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Red136
393241.4
967028.3
279715.5
Blue69
87919.9
832431.6
1065016.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7356020408010012014013669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+41Teleop
+43Endgame
+67Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points35
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
83Total teleop53
Reef
5L4#5
6L3#3
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +67
24Foul points0
136Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#12
41.43.1
27.931.0
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End6.3
red by 9.8
8324
#15
31.60.0
21.721.6
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Second
9670
#28
28.33.1
17.020.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.9
End0.2
red by 11.7
16.60.1
15.415.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
2797
#30
15.53.1
12.115.2
Auto1.6
Teleop11.8
End2.1
red by 5.7
8791
#20
9.90.1
11.511.4
Auto0.8
Teleop6.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsMissed