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Red84
647322.2
393241.4
584229.0
Blue96
8645.1
5952.2
279715.5
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80134501001502008496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#12
40Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
54Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
84Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#12
41.41.1
29.130.2
Auto7.2
Teleop28.0
End6.3
blue by 10.8
59
#5
52.21.7
45.043.2
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
Second
5842
#11
29.00.7
23.123.8
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
blue by 16.1
86
#16
45.11.0
42.441.4
Auto11.4
Teleop24.9
End8.8
Third
6473
#19
22.20.7
16.717.3
Auto3.9
Teleop16.9
End1.3
red by 6.7
2797
#30
15.51.7
18.316.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed15%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsEarned