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Red79
159241.4
362716.0
632211.6
Blue80
584229.0
743118.9
881728.3
34%Model gave it66%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7187501001507980

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
Teleop+23
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousBlue +11
6Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
9Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +12
11Coral scored#12
38Coral points42
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
48Total teleop60
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
6Foul points0
79Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#10
41.41.3
36.037.2
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
red by 12.4
5842
#11
29.00.6
25.526.1
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
Second
3627
#31
16.00.8
12.813.6
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.8
blue by 12.2
8817
#25
28.30.9
23.124.0
Auto4.9
Teleop22.4
End1.0
Third
6322
#43
11.60.8
9.710.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 7.3
7431
#33
18.90.9
20.521.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed