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Red132
5952.2
402415.9
547247.4
Blue89
23353.7
17448.1
832431.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1209905015020013289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+31Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
20Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
17Coral scored#12
62Coral points43
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
86Total teleop71
Reef
8L4#5
8L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
12Foul points0
132Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#5
52.21.2
50.451.6
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
blue by 1.5
233
#2
53.70.0
51.751.7
Auto8.8
Teleop42.0
End3.0
Second
47.40.8
46.146.8
Auto11.6
Teleop32.6
End3.3
red by 15.8
8324
#15
31.60.0
28.228.3
Auto5.7
Teleop24.6
End1.3
Third
4024
#13
15.91.2
12.213.4
Auto3.6
Teleop8.3
End4.0
red by 7.8
1744
#46
8.10.0
8.78.8
Auto1.6
Teleop6.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned30%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed