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Red48
1040213.6
279715.5
401314.6
Blue84
159241.4
581618.5
903018.7
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions459302060801201401604884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+42
Endgame+42
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +39
7Coral scored#14
26Coral points51
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
30Total teleop69
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#6
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
6Foul points0
48Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2797
#30
15.50.8
14.313.5
Auto1.6
Teleop11.8
End2.1
blue by 25.9
1592
#10
41.40.2
37.237.0
Auto5.2
Teleop26.7
End9.5
Second
4013
#45
14.60.5
12.612.1
Auto4.1
Teleop8.3
End2.2
blue by 4.1
9030
#17
18.70.2
19.219.0
Auto4.4
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Third
13.60.8
12.111.4
Auto2.3
Teleop9.3
End2.0
blue by 4.9
5816
#39
18.50.2
17.917.6
Auto3.1
Teleop14.1
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed