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Red115
584229.0
2129.9
80142.8
Blue51
4319.8
877515.8
155718.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12254010015020011551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+62Teleop
+64Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave3
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +48
16Coral scored#8
56Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
12Processor points6
20Net points4
32Algae points10
88Total teleop40
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points0
115Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#8
42.80.2
39.139.2
Auto12.1
Teleop29.6
End1.1
red by 24.6
1557
#22
18.21.7
20.618.9
Auto2.7
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Second
21
#18
29.90.2
29.329.5
Auto5.8
Teleop17.9
End6.2
red by 14.1
8775
#35
15.81.7
16.214.6
Auto2.9
Teleop10.3
End2.6
Third
5842
#11
29.00.1
26.126.2
Auto6.0
Teleop21.8
End1.1
red by 19.2
431
#49
9.81.7
10.08.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End-0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed