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Red39
1065016.6
632211.6
409112.4
Blue39
5952.2
1001714.9
411828.5
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381170501001502003939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
6Coral scored#3
22Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
30Total teleop15
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points6
39Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.1
End1.1
blue by 35.6
59
#5
52.2
Auto6.4
Teleop37.6
End8.2
Second
4091
#50
12.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 16.2
4118
#24
28.5
Auto4.3
Teleop20.4
End3.8
Third
6322
#43
11.6
Auto2.7
Teleop7.0
End1.9
blue by 3.3
14.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsMissed