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Red156
5959.4
190244.7
17973.9
Blue67
805710.5
402410.4
999217.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2331805010015020030035040015667

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+79Teleop
+91Endgame
+89Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave0
6Coral scored#3
28Coral points13
31Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +61
15Coral scored#8
55Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
8Net algae#2
12Processor points0
32Net points8
44Algae points8
99Total teleop38
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#3
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +89
0Foul points2
156Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#2
73.92.5
75.072.5
Auto12.6
Teleop51.2
End10.2
red by 56.4
9992
#10
17.53.1
13.616.8
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2
Second
59
#3
59.42.5
65.763.2
Auto6.8
Teleop43.7
End8.9
red by 48.9
8057
#21
10.51.9
11.713.6
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Third
44.72.5
53.150.6
Auto8.3
Teleop32.4
End4.0
red by 34.3
4024
#13
10.41.9
11.413.3
Auto3.8
Teleop4.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
90%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned