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Red26
215210.2
159233.4
80132.8
Blue8
805710.5
74317.6
4314.4
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12026050100150200268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+18Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +15
3Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
15Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#1
1L3#0
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
26Total score8

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.44.3
35.230.9
Auto4.3
Teleop20.9
End8.3
red by 22.9
8057
#21
10.51.3
13.312.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End3.5
Second
801
#22
32.84.3
41.537.2
Auto7.5
Teleop23.9
End1.4
red by 25.2
7431
#23
7.61.3
9.78.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.7
End1.0
Third
2152
#17
10.24.3
13.99.6
Auto0.6
Teleop8.3
End1.4
red by 5.8
431
#25
4.41.3
5.13.8
Auto0.9
Teleop3.8
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsMissed8%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed