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Red122
527610.8
406546.2
999518.1
Blue74
581612.0
999217.5
8639.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7372405060809010011012012274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousBlue +8
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
12Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +44
16Coral scored#11
58Coral points40
4Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
24Processor points6
12Net points4
36Algae points10
94Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
122Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.5
44.647.0
Auto12.0
Teleop28.3
End5.9
red by 7.0
86
#4
39.20.3
41.441.1
Auto9.0
Teleop22.7
End7.5
Second
9995
#15
18.14.1
13.918.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.9
End3.2
red by 0.5
9992
#10
17.50.4
14.614.2
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2
Third
10.82.5
8.310.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End0.1
blue by 1.3
5816
#24
12.00.3
12.912.7
Auto6.1
Teleop6.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed