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Red113
38641.3
999518.1
527610.8
Blue123
159233.4
832422.9
999217.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8169050100150113123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+12
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points17
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +8
15Coral scored#18
55Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
18Processor points12
8Net points12
26Algae points24
81Total teleop89
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#5
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#4
23Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +10
0Foul points0
113Total score123

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#18
41.30.6
41.341.9
Auto9.0
Teleop27.7
End4.7
red by 7.9
33.40.9
31.332.2
Auto4.3
Teleop20.9
End8.3
Second
9995
#15
18.10.9
18.118.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.9
End3.2
blue by 4.8
8324
#14
22.90.9
21.021.9
Auto4.1
Teleop16.9
End2.0
Third
10.80.6
10.811.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.8
End0.1
blue by 6.8
9992
#10
17.51.4
14.215.6
Auto3.8
Teleop13.3
End0.2