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Red28
1021921.0
255616.3
7910.9
Blue14
457615.7
32429.6
36277.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70652040801001202814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+8Teleop
+8Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +5
3Coral scored#1
10Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
10Total teleop5
Reef
1L4#0
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points0
28Total score14

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.015.0
28.713.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.9
End1.4
red by 5.3
4576
#34
15.75.1
25.320.3
Auto2.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Second
2556
#38
16.34.1
23.419.3
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
red by 6.7
3242
#26
9.65.1
16.211.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Third
79
#21
10.94.1
17.713.6
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5
red by 3.3
3627
#40
7.65.1
18.213.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsMissed