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Red86
1015918.0
190249.5
931312.4
Blue2
35029.3
93007.0
527616.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6563204080100120862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+70Teleop
+86Endgame
+84Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
6Leave0
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +55
11Coral scored#0
41Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
55Total teleop0
Reef
5L4#0
3L3#0
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#0
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +84
0Foul points2
86Total score2

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.52.5
25.127.7
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
red by 33.5
5276
#39
16.06.2
21.715.5
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Second
18.02.3
18.020.3
Auto3.4
Teleop12.8
End1.8
red by 8.7
3502
#16
9.36.2
17.811.6
Auto2.1
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
9313
#20
12.42.5
14.216.7
Auto2.5
Teleop7.9
End1.9
red by 5.4
9300
#36
7.06.2
16.19.9
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
39%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed