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Red73
964235.1
93007.0
255616.3
Blue85
877814.8
971110.2
190249.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576802040801001207385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
13Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +6
13Coral scored#10
46Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
56Total teleop50
Reef
6L4#3
3L3#3
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
73Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.4
28.029.3
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End2.4
blue by 14.5
49.52.8
36.739.5
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
Second
2556
#38
16.32.3
12.014.3
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
red by 1.5
8778
#10
14.82.8
11.113.9
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1
Third
9300
#36
7.02.3
9.912.2
Auto2.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 3.2
9711
#37
10.22.8
8.911.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
30%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed60%Barge oddsEarned