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Red169
190249.5
38648.9
527616.0
Blue111
7910.9
1021921.0
255616.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128440100150200169111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+40Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
6Leave9
5Coral scored#0
25Coral points0
31Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +18
21Coral scored#14
74Coral points50
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
102Total teleop84
Reef
10L4#6
8L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#21
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +58
12Foul points12
169Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.51.1
44.345.3
Auto8.3
Teleop34.1
End7.2
red by 28.5
21.01.2
19.120.2
Auto2.7
Teleop16.9
End1.4
Second
386
#1
48.91.1
43.244.3
Auto8.7
Teleop31.9
End8.3
red by 32.6
2556
#38
16.31.1
14.515.6
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.2
Third
5276
#39
16.01.1
14.916.0
Auto3.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
red by 5.1
79
#21
10.91.2
8.910.1
Auto3.6
Teleop5.8
End1.5