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Red165
10840.9
878824.5
23342.4
Blue69
1032320.4
555723.2
940415.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123705010015020016569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+102Teleop
+96Endgame
+96Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
9Leave0
5Coral scored#2
24Coral points9
33Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +78
22Coral scored#7
80Coral points26
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#4
24Processor points12
28Net points16
52Algae points28
132Total teleop54
Reef
10L4#3
8L3#3
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
38Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +96
0Foul points0
165Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
42.41.2
39.540.7
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
red by 19.3
5557
#19
23.20.4
23.923.5
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Second
108
#4
40.91.2
38.039.2
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
red by 20.5
20.40.4
21.220.8
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
Third
8788
#23
24.51.3
21.322.6
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
red by 8.9
9404
#30
15.60.4
16.416.0
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4