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Red65
1032320.4
555723.2
940415.6
Blue88
877814.8
136923.6
584219.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767140506080901001106588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+25
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
9Coral scored#12
34Coral points42
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
48Total teleop70
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +23
2Foul points0
65Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5557
#19
23.20.4
23.523.2
Auto5.9
Teleop14.4
End2.8
blue by 0.4
1369
#11
23.60.6
23.023.6
Auto5.2
Teleop16.8
End1.6
Second
20.40.4
20.820.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End2.6
red by 1.4
5842
#25
19.00.6
18.519.0
Auto4.2
Teleop14.5
End0.4
Third
9404
#30
15.60.4
16.015.6
Auto2.2
Teleop12.0
End1.4
red by 0.9
8778
#10
14.80.6
14.214.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.6
End2.1