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Red139
10840.9
878824.5
23342.4
Blue133
964235.1
316415.2
547238.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119966080140160180200139133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+8Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave0
3Coral scored#6
17Coral points30
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +12
21Coral scored#20
77Coral points73
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
111Total teleop99
Reef
10L4#9
5L3#8
4L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
139Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#3
42.40.7
40.741.4
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End1.9
red by 3.8
38.61.1
38.239.3
Auto10.1
Teleop25.2
End3.3
Second
108
#4
40.90.7
39.239.9
Auto12.7
Teleop26.6
End1.6
red by 5.8
35.10.8
34.835.6
Auto8.8
Teleop23.9
End2.4
Third
8788
#23
24.50.8
22.623.4
Auto4.8
Teleop18.2
End1.5
red by 9.3
3164
#32
15.21.0
14.915.9
Auto4.6
Teleop9.6
End1.1