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Red170
552646.6
152328.1
238355.3
Blue64
858135.2
264119.8
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11150010015020017064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+72Teleop
+82Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points3
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
19Coral scored#8
70Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
92Total teleop41
Reef
7L4#3
7L3#3
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#12
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
24Foul points0
170Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.32.8
45.948.7
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
red by 20.1
8581
#18
35.20.3
25.525.8
Auto10.0
Teleop22.0
End3.2
Second
46.63.1
26.329.3
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
red by 26.8
2641
#21
19.80.2
12.712.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.1
End2.6
Third
1523
#15
28.12.8
21.324.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.0
End5.6
red by 21.3
6.70.3
11.712.0
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned