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Red91
1001713.4
907724.3
74431.8
Blue20
1061612.0
58729.2
783318.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4951204060801009120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+63Teleop
+65Endgame
+71Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
20Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +49
13Coral scored#1
45Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
0Processor points0
8Net points0
8Algae points0
53Total teleop4
Reef
5L4#1
5L3#0
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
18Game pieces#2
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +71
12Foul points6
91Total score20

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
744
#36
31.82.2
18.921.1
Auto2.8
Teleop26.0
End3.1
red by 12.9
7833
#17
18.93.5
16.412.8
Auto4.7
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Second
9077
#14
24.32.6
13.516.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.6
End2.5
red by 12.3
12.03.5
19.415.9
Auto1.0
Teleop9.1
End1.9
Third
13.42.6
14.116.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End3.2
red by 4.2
5872
#44
9.22.3
9.97.6
Auto2.9
Teleop5.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
17%Barge oddsEarned49%Barge oddsMissed