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Red115
174418.4
541024.4
316433.8
Blue145
287262.5
1032330.1
674335.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75147050100200115145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+24
Endgame+36
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +21
11Coral scored#20
41Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
79Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#8
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
6Foul points0
115Total score145

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.81.8
27.429.2
Auto7.3
Teleop19.5
End7.0
blue by 28.7
2872
#10
62.50.9
56.857.7
Auto15.3
Teleop40.5
End6.8
Second
5410
#20
24.41.8
21.823.6
Auto4.9
Teleop17.0
End2.4
blue by 11.4
35.81.4
29.230.6
Auto4.8
Teleop24.2
End6.8
Third
1744
#35
18.41.8
13.515.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 11.7
30.10.9
25.426.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned74%Barge oddsEarned