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Red231
248658.9
364624.4
552646.6
Blue197
5966.5
238355.3
1015434.8
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13317450100150200250231197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
8Coral scored#5
41Coral points23
44Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +14
29Coral scored#35
103Coral points127
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
141Total teleop155
Reef
14L4#16
11L3#10
6L2#11
6L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +34
30Foul points0
231Total score197

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2486
#12
58.91.4
57.058.4
Auto14.3
Teleop35.0
End9.6
blue by 7.6
59
#8
66.50.7
65.265.9
Auto6.0
Teleop51.3
End9.1
Second
46.61.4
44.746.1
Auto8.6
Teleop36.2
End1.7
blue by 8.7
55.30.7
54.054.7
Auto12.4
Teleop31.7
End11.2
Third
3646
#28
24.41.4
22.523.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.9
End2.3
blue by 10.4
34.80.8
33.334.1
Auto4.4
Teleop25.4
End5.1