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Red186
691957.9
445913.3
177183.7
Blue110
126150.0
179514.4
602337.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17310250150200250186110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+56Teleop
+76Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points28
44Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +46
21Coral scored#15
74Coral points54
4Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
24Processor points6
20Net points12
44Algae points18
118Total teleop72
Reef
12L4#7
7L3#5
6L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
39Game pieces#25
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points0
186Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.7
82.983.7
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
red by 33.7
50.00.2
49.850.0
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
Second
57.90.7
57.157.9
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
red by 20.0
37.90.2
37.737.9
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
Third
4459
#22
13.30.7
12.513.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.7
End0.6
blue by 1.2
1795
#21
14.40.2
14.314.4
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4