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Red35
100228.2
424014.3
582810.4
Blue31
1033811.0
334423.4
241526.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34431020305060703531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points12
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +4
3Coral scored#4
9Coral points13
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
13Total teleop17
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#7
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
35Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.3
18.118.4
Auto7.3
Teleop19.4
End1.5
red by 1.6
2415
#18
26.70.4
21.120.7
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Second
4240
#10
14.30.4
9.910.3
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End1.1
blue by 9.1
3344
#12
23.40.4
12.311.9
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Third
5828
#14
10.40.3
1.82.1
Auto3.0
Teleop6.9
End0.5
blue by 0.5
11.00.4
4.03.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned29%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
7%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed