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Red164
926038.0
691957.9
177183.7
Blue30
747010.6
179514.4
334423.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1803205010015020025030016430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+116Teleop
+134Endgame
+134Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
6Leave9
8Coral scored#0
38Coral points0
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +81
18Coral scored#4
64Coral points15
2Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
12Processor points0
20Net points0
32Algae points0
96Total teleop15
Reef
10L4#2
6L3#1
6L2#0
4L1 · trough#1
33Game pieces#4
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +134
0Foul points0
164Total score30

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.70.9
73.874.7
Auto26.0
Teleop49.4
End8.2
red by 60.2
3344
#12
23.40.9
16.115.2
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Second
57.90.9
47.948.8
Auto12.2
Teleop37.6
End8.1
red by 43.4
1795
#21
14.40.9
10.29.3
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Third
38.00.9
29.129.9
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
red by 27.4
7470
#17
10.60.9
17.216.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
28%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned10%Barge oddsMissed