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Red81
808030.9
690511.9
1048226.5
Blue45
884916.4
241526.7
691011.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions635102040801001201408145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+24Teleop
+36Endgame
+36Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
3Leave3
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +8
8Coral scored#6
30Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
48Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +36
0Foul points0
81Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.91.7
20.622.3
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
red by 4.2
2415
#18
26.70.0
25.625.5
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
Second
26.51.7
24.826.5
Auto6.8
Teleop12.0
End7.7
red by 10.1
8849
#23
16.40.0
13.613.6
Auto2.9
Teleop12.3
End1.2
Third
6905
#20
11.91.7
10.311.9
Auto2.9
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 0.4
6910
#16
11.50.0
6.56.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed