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Red101
241526.7
450919.5
334423.4
Blue126
332928.9
692529.9
602337.9
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7110620406080100120140160101126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+19
Endgame+23
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#20
58Coral points72
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
18Processor points12
16Net points20
34Algae points32
92Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#9
3L3#5
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
24Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points2
101Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2415
#18
26.71.7
24.125.8
Auto3.8
Teleop22.1
End0.7
blue by 11.2
37.91.5
34.836.3
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
Second
3344
#12
23.41.7
22.624.3
Auto3.8
Teleop19.2
End0.4
blue by 6.4
6925
#15
29.91.5
26.828.3
Auto4.5
Teleop23.3
End2.0
Third
4509
#24
19.51.7
17.819.5
Auto5.9
Teleop13.0
End0.5
blue by 9.4
28.91.5
27.629.1
Auto4.2
Teleop22.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed