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Red133
126150.0
179514.4
602337.9
Blue135
808030.9
691011.5
926038.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1118550100150200133135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +22
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points6
34Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +24
18Coral scored#24
63Coral points87
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
91Total teleop115
Reef
10L4#10
7L3#7
5L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
29Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points6
133Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.3
48.248.5
Auto13.7
Teleop34.7
End1.6
red by 12.0
38.00.8
37.037.8
Auto5.8
Teleop31.1
End1.1
Second
37.90.3
36.036.4
Auto6.1
Teleop30.7
End1.2
red by 7.0
30.90.8
29.930.7
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End1.6
Third
1795
#21
14.40.3
12.613.0
Auto3.1
Teleop10.0
End1.4
red by 2.9
6910
#16
11.50.8
10.511.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.9
End1.2