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Red88
331831.4
560829.6
810027.1
Blue128
332938.5
1037620.5
634053.8
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8910940608010012014016088128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
9Coral points23
15Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +16
14Coral scored#18
51Coral points63
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
69Total teleop85
Reef
8L4#7
3L3#8
2L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points0
88Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3318
#19
31.40.0
29.629.7
Auto6.6
Teleop21.2
End3.6
blue by 22.5
53.81.8
49.951.7
Auto10.0
Teleop35.3
End8.6
Second
5608
#30
29.60.0
29.329.4
Auto4.0
Teleop23.5
End2.1
blue by 8.8
3329
#20
38.51.8
34.736.6
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
Third
8100
#37
27.10.0
28.528.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End1.6
red by 6.6
20.51.8
15.717.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsEarned