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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701335010015020083134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+51
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points24
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +30
9Coral scored#21
34Coral points76
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
60Total teleop90
Reef
3L4#13
3L3#5
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
16Game pieces#29
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
83Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6829
#27
28.90.6
31.031.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.2
End3.7
blue by 20.5
4026
#11
49.31.0
41.942.9
Auto10.9
Teleop30.9
End7.5
Second
8865
#34
24.10.6
21.722.4
Auto2.8
Teleop18.7
End2.6
blue by 17.9
1002
#18
42.11.0
37.438.5
Auto7.6
Teleop32.2
End2.3
Third
20.50.6
17.618.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.5
End2.7
blue by 18.0
3329
#20
38.51.0
36.637.6
Auto4.6
Teleop31.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsEarned