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Qual 832025 Peachtree District Championship presented by Mercer University
Red115
507426.1
100242.1
411239.4
Blue150
926047.5
670528.8
168359.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10414350200250115150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+25
Endgame+33
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points24
26Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +21
16Coral scored#24
57Coral points86
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
6Processor points6
20Net points12
26Algae points18
83Total teleop104
Reef
7L4#10
6L3#10
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points2
115Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#18
42.10.7
39.7→40.4
Auto7.6
Teleop32.2
End2.3
blue by 17.6
1683
#4
59.71.0
58.8→59.8
Auto12.1
Teleop40.1
End7.6
Second
4112
#45
39.40.7
37.6→38.3
Auto9.3
Teleop28.9
End1.2
blue by 8.1
9260
#16
47.51.0
46.7→47.7
Auto8.8
Teleop37.7
End1.1
Third
5074
#24
26.10.7
26.6→27.4
Auto4.8
Teleop18.7
End2.5
blue by 2.7
6705
#31
28.81.0
27.8→28.8
Auto6.5
Teleop20.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed53%Barge oddsEarned