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Red127
691941.1
297448.8
Blue97
682917.9
76768.8
164831.5
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11457020408010014016012797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+22Teleop
+24Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +19
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points49
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
18Processor points12
20Net points16
38Algae points28
96Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#5
7L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#22
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +30
6Foul points0
127Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.4
48.448.8
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
red by 17.3
31.50.7
30.731.5
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
41.10.4
40.741.1
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 23.2
17.90.7
17.117.9
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Third
7.00.4
6.77.0
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 1.8
7676
#31
8.80.7
8.18.8
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6