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Red6
694414.9
76768.8
Blue51
884913.1
590012.8
682917.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365702080100120140651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+39
Endgame+37
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
0Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
0Coral scored#6
0Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
0Total teleop30
Reef
0L4#2
0L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
0Game pieces#9
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points8
6Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6944
#21
14.92.9
12.59.6
Auto1.4
Teleop11.7
End1.8
blue by 2.9
17.90.4
17.016.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Second
7676
#31
8.82.9
9.16.2
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
blue by 4.3
8849
#11
13.10.4
14.514.1
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
Third
7.02.9
10.27.3
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
blue by 5.8
12.80.4
14.714.4
Auto4.7
Teleop5.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
19%Auto oddsMissed26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed