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Red46
67129.0
691941.1
884913.1
Blue26
560823.6
97707.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70280204060801004626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+10Teleop
+14Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +4
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
28Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#6
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points0
46Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.12.1
38.436.3
Auto8.0
Teleop25.6
End7.4
red by 17.5
23.60.2
17.617.4
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
Second
8849
#11
13.12.1
11.29.1
Auto2.2
Teleop10.1
End0.8
red by 5.9
9770
#30
7.20.3
5.24.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Third
6712
#16
9.01.2
9.17.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
red by 2.0
7.00.3
6.36.0
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed