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Red28
402612.2
332913.3
76768.8
Blue72
602322.0
17955.7
67129.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423402060801001202872

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+26
Endgame+26
Fouls+44
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
4Coral scored#8
14Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
18Total teleop44
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#4
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points18
28Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3329
#24
13.31.6
15.814.2
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
blue by 8.7
22.01.4
18.820.2
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
4026
#12
12.21.7
11.09.3
Auto1.8
Teleop8.8
End1.5
red by 3.2
6712
#16
9.00.9
8.08.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
Third
7676
#31
8.81.6
6.24.6
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
red by 3.1
1795
#27
5.71.4
1.42.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
9%Auto oddsMissed7%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsMissed