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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71130204060801001207319

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +53
12Coral scored#1
43Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
57Total teleop4
Reef
6L4#1
2L3#1
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
16Game pieces#2
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
73Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.80.9
46.847.7
Auto4.7
Teleop42.5
End1.5
red by 41.6
9770
#30
7.20.1
10.010.1
Auto1.4
Teleop4.6
End1.3
Second
7.00.9
6.17.0
Auto1.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 2.4
6887
#29
4.70.1
4.24.3
Auto3.0
Teleop0.4
End1.3
Third
4459
#22
6.60.9
1.82.7
Auto0.8
Teleop5.6
End0.2
red by 3.1
5219
#14
3.50.1
0.91.0
Auto1.8
Teleop0.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
14%Auto oddsMissed6%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
10%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed