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Red60
100218.1
560823.6
67129.0
Blue42
76768.8
602322.0
411216.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465401001502006042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+14Teleop
+12Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +14
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points21
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
0Processor points6
8Net points0
8Algae points6
41Total teleop27
Reef
3L4#3
3L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
6Foul points0
60Total score42

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.4
19.820.2
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
red by 1.6
22.01.5
15.814.4
Auto3.8
Teleop16.9
End1.3
Second
1002
#13
18.10.7
10.911.6
Auto5.4
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 1.2
16.81.5
19.818.3
Auto4.9
Teleop10.4
End1.6
Third
6712
#16
9.00.4
9.69.9
Auto2.3
Teleop4.6
End2.1
red by 0.2
7676
#31
8.81.5
10.69.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
18%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed