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Red46
363521.7
332913.3
560823.6
Blue82
682917.9
76768.8
164831.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66500204060801001204682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+34
Endgame+36
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave9
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +20
7Coral scored#8
25Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
35Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +36
0Foul points0
46Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.60.3
23.923.6
Auto4.4
Teleop18.9
End0.3
blue by 7.8
31.50.7
29.129.8
Auto6.5
Teleop22.8
End2.1
Second
21.70.3
22.021.7
Auto3.8
Teleop16.6
End1.2
red by 3.8
17.90.7
15.516.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Third
3329
#24
13.30.3
13.613.3
Auto2.5
Teleop8.8
End2.0
red by 4.5
7676
#31
8.80.7
6.47.1
Auto3.3
Teleop2.9
End2.6