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Red79
671211.6
418811.1
949655.5
Blue52
88729.9
926024.2
331826.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8554020401001201407952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+19Teleop
+17Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
9Coral scored#8
32Coral points27
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
6Processor points0
12Net points8
18Algae points8
50Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#4
4L3#3
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
12Foul points2
79Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.50.4
43.843.4
Auto10.0
Teleop44.7
End0.8
red by 28.8
26.70.0
21.321.4
Auto3.9
Teleop19.7
End3.2
Second
6712
#17
11.60.4
12.512.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.9
End2.5
blue by 12.6
9260
#10
24.20.0
20.620.7
Auto3.4
Teleop18.2
End2.6
Third
4188
#18
11.10.4
14.514.1
Auto2.9
Teleop7.3
End1.0
red by 1.2
8872
#22
9.90.0
7.77.7
Auto1.5
Teleop7.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed