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Qual 112025 GRITS
Red115
164841.8
297466.1
241512.0
Blue162
183366.3
168368.5
529330.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16420150100150250115162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+37
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +13
6Leave6
6Coral scored#9
31Coral points44
37Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +24
9Coral scored#19
34Coral points68
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
62Total teleop86
Reef
7L4#7
4L3#10
3L2#8
1L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
2Foul points2
115Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.12.6
71.969.3
Auto16.7
Teleop46.4
End3.1
blue by 2.4
68.51.3
70.068.7
Auto11.1
Teleop49.2
End8.2
Second
1648
#10
41.82.6
56.153.5
Auto8.7
Teleop25.5
End7.6
blue by 24.5
66.31.3
71.269.9
Auto17.8
Teleop41.0
End7.5
Third
2415
#29
12.02.6
21.318.7
Auto1.3
Teleop10.6
End0.2
blue by 18.8
30.81.3
34.633.4
Auto8.3
Teleop20.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned