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Qual 162025 GRITS
Red114
45098.8
634047.0
183366.3
Blue79
164841.8
886628.9
560818.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15713305010020025030011479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+41Teleop
+47Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave6
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +24
12Coral scored#9
44Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
72Total teleop48
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
23Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points18
114Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.31.8
69.968.1
Auto17.8
Teleop41.0
End7.5
red by 24.5
1648
#10
41.84.3
53.549.2
Auto8.7
Teleop25.5
End7.6
Second
6340
#12
47.01.8
51.749.9
Auto8.8
Teleop30.7
End7.4
red by 18.1
8866
#38
28.94.3
41.837.5
Auto4.8
Teleop20.5
End3.6
Third
4509
#37
8.81.8
14.112.2
Auto2.8
Teleop7.0
End-0.9
blue by 9.9
5608
#28
18.74.3
30.826.4
Auto3.0
Teleop15.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed