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Qual 402025 GRITS
Red130
560818.7
183366.3
331825.3
Blue81
745136.8
948035.1
952212.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1329205015020013081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+39Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points7
30Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#11
52Coral points38
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#3
12Processor points12
20Net points12
32Algae points24
84Total teleop62
Reef
7L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
130Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.31.2
66.968.0
Auto17.8
Teleop41.0
End7.5
red by 29.6
7451
#19
36.80.5
39.739.2
Auto7.5
Teleop25.6
End3.6
Second
3318
#25
25.31.2
24.826.0
Auto4.0
Teleop18.6
End2.7
blue by 9.8
9480
#14
35.10.5
37.036.4
Auto5.5
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Third
5608
#28
18.71.2
20.922.0
Auto3.0
Teleop15.2
End0.6
red by 6.3
9522
#39
12.50.5
12.411.8
Auto3.0
Teleop8.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned86%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
22%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned53%Barge oddsMissed